{"id":213,"date":"2021-07-02T17:45:12","date_gmt":"2021-07-02T15:45:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.imovel.pt\/?p=213"},"modified":"2022-09-08T09:30:01","modified_gmt":"2022-09-08T07:30:01","slug":"risco-de-bolha-imobiliaria","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.imovel.pt\/news\/imobiliario\/risco-de-bolha-imobiliaria","title":{"rendered":"Bolha imobili\u00e1ria em Portugal e no mundo: o que deves saber"},"content":{"rendered":"

De acordo com um estudo realizado pela Bloomberg Economics<\/em> \u2013 empresa de tecnologia e dados para o mercado financeiro \u2013 algumas das maiores economias do mundo, est\u00e3o a aproximar-se do risco de bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal<\/strong> no atual per\u00edodo p\u00f3s-pand\u00eamico.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

O que significaria uma bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal?<\/h2>\n

Bolha imobili\u00e1ria<\/strong> \u00e9 uma express\u00e3o usada para descrever a valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o indiscriminada nos pre\u00e7os<\/strong> dos im\u00f3veis, durante um determinado per\u00edodo de tempo, seguida de uma desvaloriza\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong>. Por outras palavras, representa a subida do pre\u00e7o das habita\u00e7\u00f5es causada pela superior procura em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 oferta. O mercado imobili\u00e1rio<\/a><\/span> global vive um aquecimento<\/strong>, crescendo o risco de uma nova crise imobiliaria<\/strong>, semelhante \u00e0 vivida em 2008 e que conduziu \u00e0 Grande Recess\u00e3o da Economia. O economista-chefe, respons\u00e1vel pelo estudo da Bloomberg Economics<\/em> refere que \u201cum cocktail<\/em> de ingredientes est\u00e1 a fazer subir os pre\u00e7os das casas a n\u00edveis sem precedentes em todo o mundo\u201d.<\/p>\n

Entre os principais indicadores que atualmente contribuem para o risco de uma bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal<\/strong>\u00a0est\u00e3o as baixas taxas de juros, os incentivos fiscais oferecidos pelos governos aos compradores, o aumento do interesse dos trabalhadores em regime de home-office<\/em> em adquirir casas maiores, a baixa oferta de habita\u00e7\u00f5es e as expectativas de uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o s\u00f3lida da economia p\u00f3s-pandemia. Ap\u00f3s este per\u00edodo de aquecimento \u00e9 expect\u00e1vel uma desvaloriza\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o dos im\u00f3veis por raz\u00f5es que poder\u00e3o ir desde a indisponibilidade dos bancos em conceder cr\u00e9dito<\/a><\/span>, \u00e0 descida natural da procura por habita\u00e7\u00e3o, levando desta forma, \u00e0 rutura da bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00c9 nesta altura que pode existir uma real queda do valor imobili\u00e1rio<\/strong>, traduzindo-se numa oportunidade para lucrar nesse mercado devido \u00e0 elevada capacidade de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do setor<\/a><\/span>. Comumente se v\u00ea investidores<\/a><\/span> tirarem partido de uma bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal, comprando habita\u00e7\u00f5es quando o pre\u00e7o est\u00e1 baixo e vendendo<\/a><\/span> quando identificam que os pre\u00e7os n\u00e3o subir\u00e3o mais.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

O risco de uma bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal<\/h2>\n

O estudo da Bloomberg<\/em><\/a><\/span> analisa cinco vari\u00e1veis \u200b\u200bpara prever a possibilidade<\/strong> de risco de uma bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal, sendo elas:<\/p>\n

1) a rela\u00e7\u00e3o entre pre\u00e7os e arrendamentos,<\/p>\n

2) a rela\u00e7\u00e3o entre pre\u00e7os e rendimentos,<\/p>\n

3) o crescimento real dos pre\u00e7os,<\/p>\n

4) o crescimento nominal dos pre\u00e7os, e<\/p>\n

5) o crescimento do cr\u00e9dito em termos anuais.<\/p>\n

\"bolha
Fonte: Bloomberg<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Atrav\u00e9s destes indicadores, os resultados deste estudo indicam que em muitos pa\u00edses da OCDE<\/strong>, os pre\u00e7os est\u00e3o agora mais altos, comparativamente com o per\u00edodo pr\u00e9-crise financeira de 2008. De acordo com o relat\u00f3rio divulgado, que apresenta uma lista de 23 pa\u00edses em risco de atingir uma bolha imobili\u00e1ria, Canad\u00e1 e Nova Zel\u00e2ndia<\/strong> ocupam os primeiros lugares, seguindo-se a Su\u00e9cia, a Noruega, a Austr\u00e1lia, a B\u00e9lgica, o Reino Unido, a Holanda, a Irlanda e a Dinamarca. Na posi\u00e7\u00e3o 16 deste ranking surge o risco de uma bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Fora do top 10, tal como Portugal, est\u00e3o os pa\u00edses: Espanha, \u00c1ustria, Fran\u00e7a, Estados Unidos, Su\u00ed\u00e7a, Finl\u00e2ndia, Alemanha, Gr\u00e9cia, It\u00e1lia, Jap\u00e3o e as Coreias do Norte e Sul. Apesar do risco global atual de uma bolha imobili\u00e1ria, o estudo prev\u00ea um arrefecimento da situa\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong> se as proje\u00e7\u00f5es macroecon\u00f3micas se mantiverem.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Conclus\u00e3o: O Mercado imobili\u00e1rio vai cair?<\/h2>\n

Para finalizar o relat\u00f3rio, o economista Niraj Shah, acrescenta:<\/p>\n

\u201c\u00c0 medida que aumentam as m\u00e9tricas de risco de uma bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal<\/strong>, como taxas de juros<\/strong> ainda baixas ou pol\u00edticas macroprudenciais<\/strong> em vigor, \u00e9 mais prov\u00e1vel que o pr\u00f3ximo per\u00edodo seja caracterizado mais por um arrefecimento do que por um colapso\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

De acordo com um estudo realizado pela Bloomberg Economics \u2013 empresa de tecnologia e dados para o mercado financeiro \u2013 algumas das maiores economias do mundo, est\u00e3o a aproximar-se do risco de bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal no atual per\u00edodo p\u00f3s-pand\u00eamico.   O que significaria uma bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal? Bolha imobili\u00e1ria \u00e9 uma express\u00e3o usada […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":330,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[10,14,61,23,13,11,12],"class_list":["post-213","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-imobiliario","tag-bolha-imobiliaria","tag-bolha-imobiliaria-blog","tag-bolha-imobiliaria-em-portugal","tag-bolha-imobiliaria-portugal","tag-bolha-mercado-imobiliario","tag-crise-imobiliaria","tag-inflacao-imobiliaria"],"yoast_head":"\nBolha imobili\u00e1ria em Portugal e no mundo - im\u00f3vel.pt News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Estes s\u00e3o os principais indicadores que atualmente contribuem para o risco de uma bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal e no mundo:\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.imovel.pt\/news\/imobiliario\/risco-de-bolha-imobiliaria\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bolha imobili\u00e1ria em Portugal e no mundo: o que deves saber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Estes s\u00e3o os principais indicadores que atualmente contribuem para o risco de uma bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal e no mundo:\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.imovel.pt\/news\/imobiliario\/risco-de-bolha-imobiliaria\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"im\u00f3vel.pt News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/imovel.pt\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-07-02T15:45:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-09-08T07:30:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.imovel.pt\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/bolha-imobiliaria-em-portugal.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"700\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"525\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"im\u00f3vel.pt\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"im\u00f3vel.pt\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tempo estimado de leitura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.imovel.pt\\\/news\\\/imobiliario\\\/risco-de-bolha-imobiliaria#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.imovel.pt\\\/news\\\/imobiliario\\\/risco-de-bolha-imobiliaria\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"im\u00f3vel.pt\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.imovel.pt\\\/news\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/5d403e48cef3333473719d7916dc7ae4\"},\"headline\":\"Bolha imobili\u00e1ria em Portugal e no mundo: o que deves saber\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-07-02T15:45:12+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-09-08T07:30:01+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.imovel.pt\\\/news\\\/imobiliario\\\/risco-de-bolha-imobiliaria\"},\"wordCount\":661,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.imovel.pt\\\/news\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.imovel.pt\\\/news\\\/imobiliario\\\/risco-de-bolha-imobiliaria#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.imovel.pt\\\/news\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2021\\\/07\\\/bolha-imobiliaria-em-portugal.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Bolha imobili\u00e1ria\",\"Bolha imobiliaria blog\",\"Bolha imobili\u00e1ria em portugal\",\"Bolha imobili\u00e1ria portugal\",\"Bolha mercado imobiliario\",\"Crise imobiliaria\",\"Infla\u00e7\u00e3o imobiliaria\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Imobili\u00e1rio\"],\"inLanguage\":\"pt-PT\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.imovel.pt\\\/news\\\/imobiliario\\\/risco-de-bolha-imobiliaria#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.imovel.pt\\\/news\\\/imobiliario\\\/risco-de-bolha-imobiliaria\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.imovel.pt\\\/news\\\/imobiliario\\\/risco-de-bolha-imobiliaria\",\"name\":\"Bolha imobili\u00e1ria em Portugal e no mundo - 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